US Fleury-Merogis vs Olympique St Quentin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
5º
2º
35
10º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
75% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 42 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
49.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
65% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
9% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
3 - 0
FLE
21%
25%
54%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FLE
1 - 1
REI
80%
14%
6%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FLE
4 - 3
ESW
78%
16%
6%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FLE
2 - 2
COL
45%
27%
29%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
REI
2 - 3
FLE
18%
23%
59%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique St Quentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ESW
3 - 2
OLY
31%
27%
42%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
OLY
2 - 1
HIE
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
OLY
1 - 0
COL
17%
22%
61%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
OLY
0 - 1
FUR
29%
26%
45%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
STG
1 - 2
OLY
59%
23%
18%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |