League One round 16

Fleetwood Town vs Oxford United analysis

Fleetwood Town Oxford United
62 ELO 63
1.6% Tilt -11.5%
2249º General ELO ranking 1086º
72º Country ELO ranking 48º
ELO win probability
38.3%
Fleetwood Town
26.7%
Draw
35%
Oxford United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
Fleetwood Town
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35%
Win probability
Oxford United
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fleetwood Town
-1%
-1%
Oxford United

ELO progression

Fleetwood Town
Oxford United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fleetwood Town
Fleetwood Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2017
STF
Shrewsbury Town
1 - 0
Fleetwood Town
FLE
47%
27%
26%
61 62 1 0
17 Oct. 2017
SCU
Scunthorpe United
1 - 1
Fleetwood Town
FLE
47%
27%
26%
61 61 0 0
14 Oct. 2017
FLE
Fleetwood Town
2 - 2
Rochdale
ROC
52%
25%
23%
61 58 3 0
07 Oct. 2017
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
1 - 2
Fleetwood Town
FLE
34%
28%
38%
61 53 8 0
03 Oct. 2017
FLE
Fleetwood Town
2 - 1
Morecambe
MOR
68%
19%
13%
60 46 14 +1

Matches

Oxford United
Oxford United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Oct. 2017
OXF
Oxford United
3 - 3
Rotherham United
ROT
65%
20%
15%
64 55 9 0
17 Oct. 2017
OXF
Oxford United
1 - 1
Charlton Athletic
CHA
58%
23%
19%
64 59 5 0
14 Oct. 2017
BRO
Bristol Rovers
0 - 1
Oxford United
OXF
43%
25%
32%
64 60 4 0
07 Oct. 2017
OXF
Oxford United
3 - 0
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
70%
19%
11%
63 54 9 +1
03 Oct. 2017
OXF
Oxford United
2 - 2
Brighton & Hove U21
BHA
81%
13%
6%
64 44 20 -1