FA Cup 1/64
Global 3-1
Fleetwood Town vs Hereford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
21.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fleetwood Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
FLE
0 - 0
BPO
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
WAL
4 - 2
FLE
35%
28%
37%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
FLE
0 - 0
DON
45%
25%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
MKD
1 - 0
FLE
46%
26%
29%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
CUM
1 - 2
FLE
35%
24%
41%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
OXF
1 - 2
HER
21%
21%
58%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
HER
4 - 0
STI
84%
12%
5%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
HER
5 - 0
HIT
74%
16%
9%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
POT
1 - 2
HER
9%
16%
75%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
HER
0 - 0
POT
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |