League Two round 13

Fleetwood Town vs Crewe Alexandra analysis

Fleetwood Town Crewe Alexandra
63 ELO 60
-8.9% Tilt 8.1%
2266º General ELO ranking 2306º
72º Country ELO ranking 73º
ELO win probability
47%
Fleetwood Town
26%
Draw
27%
Crewe Alexandra

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
Fleetwood Town
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27%
Win probability
Crewe Alexandra
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fleetwood Town
+6%
+15%
Crewe Alexandra

Points and table prediction

Fleetwood Town
Their league position
Crewe Alexandra
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
13º
24
24º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Notts County
26
84
23.5%
Doncaster Rovers
26
84
13.5%
Walsall
26
82
11%
Chesterfield
22
80
8.5%
Port Vale
30
77
8%
AFC Wimbledon
13º
19
76
11.5%
Bradford City
22
75
7%
Fleetwood Town
11º
20
74
7%
Crewe Alexandra
24
74
7.5%
Milton Keynes Dons
21
73
10º
9%
Salford City
14º
19
60
11º
6.5%
Barrow
21
59
12º
7%
Grimsby Town
10º
21
59
13º
8.5%
Cheltenham Town
16º
17
58
14º
8.5%
Newport County
15º
19
57
15º
10.5%
Bromley
18º
14
55
16º
9%
Gillingham
12º
20
55
17º
4.5%
Harrogate Town
17º
15
55
18º
9%
Swindon Town
22º
12
52
19º
6%
Tranmere Rovers
19º
14
52
20º
11%
Accrington Stanley
20º
13
51
21º
7.5%
Colchester United
21º
12
50
22º
15.5%
Morecambe
24º
7
45
23º
14.5%
Carlisle United
23º
8
36
24º
54%
Expected probabilities
Fleetwood Town
Crewe Alexandra
Promotion
14.5% 17.5%
Promotion play-offs
38% 36%
Mid-table
47.5% 46.5%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Fleetwood Town
Crewe Alexandra
Walsall
Tranmere Rovers
Bradford City
Notts County
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fleetwood Town
Fleetwood Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 2024
POR
Port Vale
3 - 1
Fleetwood Town
FLE
30%
26%
44%
65 58 7 0
08 Oct. 2024
FLE
Fleetwood Town
3 - 0
Barrow
BAR
45%
25%
31%
64 60 4 +1
05 Oct. 2024
FLE
Fleetwood Town
0 - 0
Bromley
BRO
59%
24%
18%
64 56 8 0
01 Oct. 2024
WAL
Walsall
2 - 6
Fleetwood Town
FLE
42%
27%
32%
63 65 2 +1
28 Sep. 2024
CHE
Cheltenham Town
0 - 2
Fleetwood Town
FLE
30%
26%
44%
63 56 7 0

Matches

Crewe Alexandra
Crewe Alexandra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 2024
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
1 - 1
Salford City
SAL
56%
23%
21%
60 55 5 0
12 Oct. 2024
DON
Doncaster Rovers
1 - 1
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
52%
24%
23%
60 65 5 0
08 Oct. 2024
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
1 - 0
Harrogate Town
TOW
50%
23%
27%
60 56 4 0
05 Oct. 2024
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
2 - 0
Gillingham
GIL
46%
26%
28%
59 61 2 +1
28 Sep. 2024
NEW
Newport County
2 - 1
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
34%
26%
40%
59 54 5 0