League Two round 13

Fleetwood Town vs Crewe Alexandra analysis

Fleetwood Town Crewe Alexandra
63 ELO 60
-8.9% Tilt 8.1%
2239º General ELO ranking 2288º
72º Country ELO ranking 73º
ELO win probability
47%
Fleetwood Town
26%
Draw
27%
Crewe Alexandra

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
Fleetwood Town
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27%
Win probability
Crewe Alexandra
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fleetwood Town
-1%
+26%
Crewe Alexandra

Points and table prediction

Fleetwood Town
Their league position
Crewe Alexandra
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
14º
29
24º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Walsall
31
84
34%
Doncaster Rovers
29
80
14.5%
Notts County
28
79
14%
Crewe Alexandra
29
76
12.5%
AFC Wimbledon
26
75
9.5%
Chesterfield
25
74
7%
Port Vale
34
74
7.5%
Milton Keynes Dons
27
73
9.5%
Fleetwood Town
13º
21
71
8%
Bradford City
10º
23
70
10º
9.5%
Cheltenham Town
14º
21
62
11º
7%
Salford City
15º
21
61
12º
8%
Harrogate Town
17º
21
61
13º
5%
Accrington Stanley
18º
18
58
14º
6%
Grimsby Town
25
58
15º
4%
Bromley
19º
17
57
16º
9%
Colchester United
20º
17
54
17º
7.5%
Gillingham
11º
23
54
18º
8%
Barrow
12º
22
53
19º
10.5%
Newport County
16º
21
52
20º
6%
Tranmere Rovers
21º
17
51
21º
8.5%
Swindon Town
22º
13
50
22º
10%
Morecambe
23º
13
50
23º
12.5%
Carlisle United
24º
13
38
24º
47.5%
Expected probabilities
Fleetwood Town
Crewe Alexandra
Promotion
11% 29.5%
Promotion play-offs
30% 39.5%
Mid-table
59% 31%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Fleetwood Town
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Bradford City
Colchester United
Carlisle United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fleetwood Town
Fleetwood Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 2024
POR
Port Vale
3 - 1
Fleetwood Town
FLE
30%
26%
44%
65 58 7 0
08 Oct. 2024
FLE
Fleetwood Town
3 - 0
Barrow
BAR
45%
25%
31%
64 60 4 +1
05 Oct. 2024
FLE
Fleetwood Town
0 - 0
Bromley
BRO
59%
24%
18%
64 56 8 0
01 Oct. 2024
WAL
Walsall
2 - 6
Fleetwood Town
FLE
42%
27%
32%
63 65 2 +1
28 Sep. 2024
CHE
Cheltenham Town
0 - 2
Fleetwood Town
FLE
30%
26%
44%
63 56 7 0

Matches

Crewe Alexandra
Crewe Alexandra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 2024
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
1 - 1
Salford City
SAL
56%
23%
21%
60 55 5 0
12 Oct. 2024
DON
Doncaster Rovers
1 - 1
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
52%
24%
23%
60 65 5 0
08 Oct. 2024
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
1 - 0
Harrogate Town
TOW
50%
23%
27%
60 56 4 0
05 Oct. 2024
CRE
Crewe Alexandra
2 - 0
Gillingham
GIL
46%
26%
28%
59 61 2 +1
28 Sep. 2024
NEW
Newport County
2 - 1
Crewe Alexandra
CRE
34%
26%
40%
59 54 5 0