1st Division Temporada Regular round 10

Flamurtari Vlorë vs Lushnja analysis

Flamurtari Vlorë Lushnja
55 ELO 45
-0.6% Tilt -6.6%
2736º General ELO ranking 3906º
11º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
65.1%
Flamurtari Vlorë
20.7%
Draw
14.2%
Lushnja

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
Flamurtari Vlorë
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.2%
Win probability
Lushnja
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Flamurtari Vlorë
+47%
+14%
Lushnja

Points and table prediction

Flamurtari Vlorë
Their league position
Lushnja
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
27
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Vora
51
54
95%
Flamurtari Vlorë
49
52
95%
Besa Kavajë
40
43
100%
Burreli
34
35
100%
Pogradeci
30
31
49%
Kastrioti Krujë
30
31
44%
Apolonia Fier
27
28
40%
Lushnja
27
28
40%
Kukësi
20
21
76%
Korabi Peshkopi
10º
19
20
10º
76%
Valbona
11º
13
14
11º
100%
Erzeni Shijak
12º
8
8
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Flamurtari Vlorë
Lushnja
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 22%
Mid-table
0% 78%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Flamurtari Vlorë
Lushnja
Besa Kavajë
Valbona
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Flamurtari Vlorë
Flamurtari Vlorë
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Oct. 2024
KRU
Kastrioti Krujë
0 - 1
Flamurtari Vlorë
FLA
32%
26%
42%
54 47 7 0
21 Oct. 2024
FLA
Flamurtari Vlorë
4 - 0
Pogradeci
POG
49%
25%
26%
52 50 2 +2
16 Oct. 2024
FLA
Flamurtari Vlorë
15 - 1
Devolli
DEV
71%
18%
11%
52 32 20 0
05 Oct. 2024
KOR
Korabi Peshkopi
1 - 2
Flamurtari Vlorë
FLA
24%
25%
52%
51 44 7 +1
28 Sep. 2024
FLA
Flamurtari Vlorë
2 - 0
Valbona
KFV
54%
23%
23%
51 44 7 0

Matches

Lushnja
Lushnja
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Oct. 2024
LUS
Lushnja
5 - 0
Kukësi
KUK
28%
25%
47%
43 49 6 0
20 Oct. 2024
VOR
Vora
1 - 0
Lushnja
LUS
70%
17%
13%
43 49 6 0
16 Oct. 2024
LUS
Lushnja
0 - 1
Oriku
ORI
56%
24%
20%
44 37 7 -1
05 Oct. 2024
LUS
Lushnja
0 - 0
Erzeni Shijak
ERZ
45%
25%
30%
44 43 1 0
28 Sep. 2024
BUR
Burreli
1 - 0
Lushnja
LUS
35%
27%
38%
44 44 0 0