1st Division Temporada Regular round 10

Flamurtari Vlorë vs Lushnja analysis

Flamurtari Vlorë Lushnja
54 ELO 45
-0.9% Tilt -6.6%
3982º General ELO ranking 5475º
12º Country ELO ranking 24º
ELO win probability
65.1%
Flamurtari Vlorë
20.7%
Draw
14.2%
Lushnja

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
Flamurtari Vlorë
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.2%
Win probability
Lushnja
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Flamurtari Vlorë
+23%
+2%
Lushnja

Points and table prediction

Flamurtari Vlorë
Their league position
Lushnja
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
12
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Flamurtari Vlorë
24
48
32.5%
Vora
25
48
23.5%
Besa Kavajë
24
45
48%
Kastrioti Krujë
14
32
25.5%
Apolonia Fier
12
30
12.5%
Pogradeci
12
30
17.5%
Lushnja
12
27
14.5%
Burreli
15
27
14%
Kukësi
10º
9
24
16.5%
Korabi Peshkopi
11
23
10º
21.5%
Valbona
11º
6
21
11º
26.5%
Erzeni Shijak
12º
2
14
12º
70%
Expected probabilities
Flamurtari Vlorë
Lushnja
Promotion
80% 1%
Promotion play-offs
20% 41%
Mid-table
0% 26.5%
Relegation play-offs
0% 21.5%
Relegation
0% 10%

ELO progression

Flamurtari Vlorë
Lushnja
Burreli
Besa Kavajë
Valbona
Korabi Peshkopi
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Flamurtari Vlorë
Flamurtari Vlorë
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Oct. 2024
KRU
Kastrioti Krujë
0 - 1
Flamurtari Vlorë
FLA
32%
26%
42%
53 46 7 0
21 Oct. 2024
FLA
Flamurtari Vlorë
4 - 0
Pogradeci
POG
49%
25%
26%
52 50 2 +1
16 Oct. 2024
FLA
Flamurtari Vlorë
15 - 1
Devolli
DEV
71%
18%
11%
51 31 20 +1
05 Oct. 2024
KOR
Korabi Peshkopi
1 - 2
Flamurtari Vlorë
FLA
24%
25%
52%
51 43 8 0
28 Sep. 2024
FLA
Flamurtari Vlorë
2 - 0
Valbona
KFV
54%
23%
23%
50 44 6 +1

Matches

Lushnja
Lushnja
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Oct. 2024
LUS
Lushnja
5 - 0
Kukësi
KUK
28%
25%
47%
42 48 6 0
20 Oct. 2024
VOR
Vora
1 - 0
Lushnja
LUS
70%
17%
13%
43 49 6 -1
16 Oct. 2024
LUS
Lushnja
0 - 1
Oriku
ORI
56%
24%
20%
43 37 6 0
05 Oct. 2024
LUS
Lushnja
0 - 0
Erzeni Shijak
ERZ
45%
25%
30%
43 43 0 0
28 Sep. 2024
BUR
Burreli
1 - 0
Lushnja
LUS
35%
27%
38%
44 43 1 -1