Flamurtari Vlorë vs Lushnja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
8º
1º
12
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
32.5% | |
|
1º
|
25 | 48 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 45 |
3º
|
48% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 32 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 30 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 30 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
12 | 27 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 27 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 24 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 23 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 21 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 14 |
12º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
80% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
20% | 41% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 26.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 10% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamurtari Vlorë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
KRU
0 - 1
FLA
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
FLA
4 - 0
POG
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
FLA
15 - 1
DEV
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
KOR
1 - 2
FLA
24%
25%
52%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FLA
2 - 0
KFV
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lushnja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
LUS
5 - 0
KUK
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
VOR
1 - 0
LUS
70%
17%
13%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
LUS
0 - 1
ORI
56%
24%
20%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LUS
0 - 0
ERZ
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BUR
1 - 0
LUS
35%
27%
38%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |