Flaminia vs Sporting Trestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
33.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
10º
17º
17º
22
10º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 75 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 63 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 62 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 56 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 56 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 49 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 47 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 46 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 44 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 43 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 41 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 39 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 35 |
15º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 34 |
16º
|
22% | |
|
|
17º
|
16 | 28 |
17º
|
38.5% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 27 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 15.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
24% | 69% |
|
Relegation
|
75.5% | 15.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flaminia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
FLA
1 - 2
GAV
22%
26%
52%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
FUL
2 - 0
FLA
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
FLA
0 - 0
SIE
23%
27%
50%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ASF
0 - 0
FLA
41%
26%
34%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
MON
2 - 1
FLA
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Trestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
FUL
4 - 2
SPO
47%
25%
29%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
SPO
0 - 2
ACS
46%
27%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ATT
0 - 1
SPO
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SPO
0 - 1
LIV
17%
24%
59%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
USP
2 - 1
SPO
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |