Flaminia vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
50.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
10º
17º
17º
37
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 75 |
1º
|
92% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 65 |
2º
|
40.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 61 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 53 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 51 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 49 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 47 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 43 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 43 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 42 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 39 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 38 |
15º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 37 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
|
17º
|
16 | 31 |
17º
|
34.5% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 26 |
18º
|
60.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 70.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
4.5% | 29% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
29% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
66.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flaminia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ASF
0 - 0
FLA
41%
26%
34%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
MON
2 - 1
FLA
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
FLA
0 - 2
SDT
43%
27%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ACS
1 - 0
FLA
29%
27%
44%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ATT
1 - 1
FLA
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MON
0 - 1
SIE
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
SIE
2 - 0
SDT
54%
25%
21%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
SIE
0 - 1
GRO
36%
28%
37%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
OST
0 - 1
SIE
20%
25%
54%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
SIE
0 - 1
FEZ
71%
19%
11%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | -1 |