Flamengo SP vs Atlético Mogi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 1
FLA
24%
25%
51%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
FLA
2 - 0
GUA
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SJS
2 - 2
FLA
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
FLA
2 - 0
UNI
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
MOG
1 - 1
FLA
7%
18%
75%
|
38 | 6 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Mogi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
MOG
0 - 2
SJS
12%
19%
68%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 3
MOG
76%
15%
9%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 2
MOG
77%
14%
8%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
MOG
1 - 0
GUA
8%
16%
76%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | +3 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
MOG
1 - 1
FLA
7%
18%
75%
|
6 | 38 | 32 | +3 |