Paulista A3 round 15

Flamengo vs São Bento analysis

Flamengo São Bento
78 ELO 48
-5.5% Tilt -0.4%
71º General ELO ranking 3244º
Country ELO ranking 95º
ELO win probability
81.7%
Flamengo
13.5%
Draw
4.8%
São Bento

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
Flamengo
2.41
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
4.8%
Win probability
São Bento
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Flamengo
+26%
+19%
São Bento

ELO progression

Flamengo
São Bento
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Flamengo
Flamengo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Mar. 2012
GRE
Grêmio Osasco
1 - 2
Flamengo
FLA
10%
18%
71%
78 47 31 0
18 Mar. 2012
FRI
Friburguense
0 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
14%
21%
65%
79 51 28 -1
16 Mar. 2012
FLA
Flamengo
3 - 3
Olimpia
OLI
44%
27%
29%
78 79 1 +1
14 Mar. 2012
FLA
Flamengo
0 - 2
Osvaldo Cruz
OSV
87%
11%
2%
79 38 41 -1
11 Mar. 2012
TAU
Taubaté
2 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
8%
16%
77%
78 41 37 +1

Matches

São Bento
São Bento
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Mar. 2012
SAO
São Bento
1 - 1
Inter de Limeira
INT
49%
25%
27%
46 46 0 0
15 Mar. 2012
MAR
Marília
1 - 2
São Bento
SAO
65%
19%
16%
45 54 9 +1
11 Mar. 2012
ECN
XV de Novembro
0 - 0
São Bento
SAO
37%
25%
38%
45 40 5 0
09 Mar. 2012
SAO
São Bento
3 - 1
Inter de Bebedouro
BEB
61%
22%
17%
45 38 7 0
03 Mar. 2012
SAO
São Bento
0 - 0
Taboão da Serra
TAB
69%
19%
13%
45 33 12 0