Torneio Rio – São Paulo Grupo A round 6

Flamengo vs Santos FC analysis

Flamengo Santos FC
81 ELO 80
4.3% Tilt 5.5%
72º General ELO ranking 108º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
51.2%
Flamengo
24.8%
Draw
24%
Santos FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
Flamengo
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24%
Win probability
Santos FC
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Flamengo
+9%
-4%
Santos FC

ELO progression

Flamengo
Santos FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Flamengo
Flamengo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Feb. 2000
SAO
São Paulo
2 - 5
Flamengo
FLA
59%
22%
19%
80 83 3 0
02 Feb. 2000
BOT
Botafogo
2 - 2
Flamengo
FLA
50%
23%
27%
80 78 2 0
29 Jan. 2000
SAN
Santos FC
1 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
63%
19%
18%
80 81 1 0
26 Jan. 2000
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 2
Botafogo
BOT
62%
20%
18%
80 78 2 0
23 Jan. 2000
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 2
São Paulo
SAO
48%
25%
26%
81 82 1 -1

Matches

Santos FC
Santos FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Feb. 2000
BOT
Botafogo
0 - 2
Santos FC
SAN
50%
23%
26%
80 78 2 0
02 Feb. 2000
SAN
Santos FC
0 - 1
São Paulo
SAO
52%
23%
24%
81 83 2 -1
29 Jan. 2000
SAN
Santos FC
1 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
63%
19%
18%
81 80 1 0
26 Jan. 2000
SAO
São Paulo
5 - 2
Santos FC
SAN
56%
23%
21%
81 82 1 0
22 Jan. 2000
SAN
Santos FC
0 - 3
Botafogo
BOT
72%
16%
12%
82 77 5 -1