Carioca 1 Copa Guanabara round 1

Flamengo vs Portuguesa RJ analysis

Flamengo Portuguesa RJ
90 ELO 56
7.6% Tilt 9.6%
70º General ELO ranking 1784º
Country ELO ranking 61º
ELO win probability
87.9%
Flamengo
9.3%
Draw
2.7%
Portuguesa RJ

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.9%
Win probability
Flamengo
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.6%
3-0
15.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.3%
2.7%
Win probability
Portuguesa RJ
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Flamengo
+16%
-11%
Portuguesa RJ

ELO progression

Flamengo
Portuguesa RJ
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Flamengo
Flamengo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jan. 2023
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 0
Audax Rio
AUD
90%
8%
2%
90 44 46 0
12 Nov. 2022
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 2
Avaí
AVA
83%
13%
5%
90 72 18 0
10 Nov. 2022
JUV
EC Juventude
2 - 2
Flamengo
FLA
10%
19%
72%
90 71 19 0
06 Nov. 2022
COT
Coritiba
1 - 0
Flamengo
FLA
12%
20%
68%
90 77 13 0
03 Nov. 2022
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 2
Corinthians
COR
67%
21%
13%
90 86 4 0

Matches

Portuguesa RJ
Portuguesa RJ
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2022
POR
Portuguesa RJ
1 - 1
Volta Redonda
VOL
30%
25%
45%
56 60 4 0
08 Oct. 2022
VOL
Volta Redonda
3 - 1
Portuguesa RJ
POR
58%
22%
21%
57 59 2 -1
05 Oct. 2022
POR
Portuguesa RJ
2 - 0
Petrópolis
PET
58%
23%
19%
57 49 8 0
01 Oct. 2022
PET
Petrópolis
1 - 0
Portuguesa RJ
POR
19%
25%
57%
58 47 11 -1
21 Sep. 2022
POR
Portuguesa RJ
2 - 0
Pérolas Negras
PER
69%
18%
13%
58 44 14 0