Flamengo vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
FLA
2 - 0
GRÊ
75%
17%
9%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
MUR
0 - 3
FLA
10%
20%
70%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 0
FLA
7%
15%
78%
|
83 | 46 | 37 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 3
JUV
84%
13%
4%
|
83 | 44 | 39 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 0
RES
90%
8%
2%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 1
MAC
93%
6%
2%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
FLU
2 - 3
BOT
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
BAN
1 - 1
BOT
11%
22%
67%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 1
OLA
88%
9%
3%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
BOT
4 - 1
MAD
88%
9%
3%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | +1 |