Copa do Brasil Final
Global 4-1
Flamengo vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
SCI
1 - 1
FLA
49%
25%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
FLA
4 - 2
JUV
46%
27%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
COR
0 - 0
FLA
53%
23%
24%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
FLA
0 - 2
FLU
47%
27%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BAH
0 - 2
FLA
46%
26%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
RIV
0 - 0
ATM
43%
26%
32%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ATM
1 - 3
SCI
52%
25%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
ATM
3 - 0
RIV
57%
23%
20%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
VAS
1 - 1
ATM
51%
24%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 1
ATM
48%
25%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |