FK Skopje vs Novaci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
7º
13º
9º
17
1º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 69 |
1º
|
76.5% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 63 |
2º
|
48% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 59 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 56 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 50 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 47 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 45 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 43 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 42 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 41 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 36 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 32 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 29 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 23 |
14º
|
46% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 17 |
15º
|
46.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 14 |
16º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Skopje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
POB
0 - 2
FKS
29%
24%
47%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
FKS
2 - 1
BAS
29%
27%
45%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
OHR
1 - 1
FKS
53%
24%
23%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
FKS
0 - 2
BEL
35%
26%
39%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ARE
0 - 0
FKS
63%
21%
17%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Novaci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
NOV
5 - 0
OSO
50%
22%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 2
NOV
13%
17%
71%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 1
SAS
35%
24%
41%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
VAN
3 - 1
NOV
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
POB
1 - 0
NOV
44%
23%
34%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |