Siauliai vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
42.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
3º
8º
6º
79
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siauliai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
FAS
2 - 1
PAN
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FKT
2 - 0
FAS
32%
28%
40%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
KZA
2 - 1
FAS
48%
26%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FAS
3 - 1
HLI
28%
27%
45%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BAN
4 - 1
FAS
31%
27%
42%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
ZAL
3 - 1
DAI
69%
19%
11%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ZAL
5 - 0
KZA
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ZAL
1 - 1
HLI
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ZAL
2 - 1
BAN
63%
22%
16%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SUD
1 - 1
ZAL
17%
25%
58%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |