FK Rostov vs Akron Tolyatti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
10º
7º
16
6º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
36 | 69 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 65 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 64 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 60 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 55 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 55 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 39 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 38 |
8º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 34 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 28 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 27 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 27 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 27 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 26 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 25 |
16º
|
21% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 87.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Rostov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FCR
0 - 0
DMK
73%
18%
9%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
FCR
3 - 1
GAZ
53%
22%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KRA
2 - 0
FCR
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FCR
4 - 1
FAK
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
GAZ
0 - 1
FCR
42%
24%
34%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Akron Tolyatti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
AKT
2 - 5
KRA
20%
24%
57%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
AKT
2 - 0
FAK
52%
23%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AKT
3 - 0
KHI
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TER
0 - 0
AKT
58%
23%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
AKT
1 - 1
ZEN
16%
22%
61%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +1 |