FK Rostov vs Akron Tolyatti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
4º
9º
7º
8
6º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 66 |
1º
|
54.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 61 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 59 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 57 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 54 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 53 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 46 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 39 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 38 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 35 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 34 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
8 | 31 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 28 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 26 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 22 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 21 |
16º
|
36.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 63% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 28% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Rostov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
FCR
3 - 1
GAZ
53%
22%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KRA
2 - 0
FCR
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FCR
4 - 1
FAK
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
GAZ
0 - 1
FCR
42%
24%
34%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LOK
3 - 2
FCR
60%
22%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Akron Tolyatti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
AKT
2 - 0
FAK
52%
23%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AKT
3 - 0
KHI
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TER
0 - 0
AKT
58%
23%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
AKT
1 - 1
ZEN
16%
22%
61%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CSK
4 - 0
AKT
73%
18%
9%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |