Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 5-3
Partizan Belgrade vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
RAD
1 - 4
PAR
18%
24%
58%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
VOZ
1 - 3
PAR
16%
24%
60%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 2
LUD
67%
20%
14%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
LUD
0 - 0
PAR
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2014 |
HBT
1 - 3
PAR
31%
25%
44%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
FKN
1 - 0
FKB
49%
26%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 3
FKN
56%
22%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
FKN
0 - 0
CHI
46%
25%
30%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
FCK
0 - 2
FKN
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
FKN
1 - 2
FCK
41%
26%
34%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |