A Lyga round 19

FK Panevėžys vs Dainava analysis

FK Panevėžys Dainava
77 ELO 63
-14.8% Tilt -7.2%
687º General ELO ranking 1454º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
61.6%
FK Panevėžys
23.7%
Draw
14.7%
Dainava

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
FK Panevėžys
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
14.7%
Win probability
Dainava
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FK Panevėžys
-14%
+7%
Dainava

Points and table prediction

FK Panevėžys
Their league position
Dainava
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
10º
45
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Zalgiris Vilnius
79
79
100%
FC Hegelmann
67
67
100%
Kauno Žalgiris
54
54
100%
Dainava
45
45
100%
Banga
43
43
100%
Siauliai
42
42
100%
Dziugas Telsiai
42
42
100%
FK Panevėžys
41
41
100%
Sūduva
39
39
100%
Transinvest Vilnius
10º
38
38
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
FK Panevėžys
Dainava
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

FK Panevėžys
Dainava
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FK Panevėžys
FK Panevėžys
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jun. 2024
FKT
Transinvest Vilnius
3 - 0
FK Panevėžys
PAN
28%
28%
44%
77 62 15 0
16 Jun. 2024
ZAL
Zalgiris Vilnius
2 - 1
FK Panevėžys
PAN
48%
26%
27%
77 77 0 0
01 Jun. 2024
PAN
FK Panevėžys
2 - 0
Siauliai
FAS
43%
27%
30%
76 73 3 +1
25 May. 2024
PAN
FK Panevėžys
0 - 0
Kauno Žalgiris
KZA
35%
27%
39%
76 77 1 0
18 May. 2024
PAN
FK Panevėžys
0 - 2
FC Hegelmann
HLI
38%
27%
35%
77 76 1 -1

Matches

Dainava
Dainava
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jun. 2024
DAI
Dainava
2 - 2
Siauliai
FAS
24%
26%
50%
63 73 10 0
15 Jun. 2024
DAI
Dainava
0 - 0
Kauno Žalgiris
KZA
18%
24%
58%
63 77 14 0
31 May. 2024
DAI
Dainava
0 - 2
FC Hegelmann
HLI
18%
25%
57%
63 77 14 0
26 May. 2024
BAN
Banga
0 - 3
Dainava
DAI
50%
26%
24%
61 66 5 +2
17 May. 2024
DAI
Dainava
0 - 1
Sūduva
SUD
34%
27%
40%
62 66 4 -1