Neftçi vs Turan-T analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
9º
6º
32
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 78 |
1º
|
90% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 65 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 60 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 53 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 52 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 45 |
6º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 43 |
7º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 40 |
8º
|
42.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 32 |
9º
|
47% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 27 |
10º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 3% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 23.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
8% | 54% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 19.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
SIV
1 - 2
FKN
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FKN
0 - 1
SFK
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SEB
0 - 3
FKN
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
FKN
5 - 1
FCK
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
QAR
5 - 0
FKN
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Turan-T
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 0
FCK
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
QAR
4 - 3
TUR
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ARA
0 - 1
TUR
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 2
ZIR
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FKN
3 - 0
TUR
48%
26%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |