Neftçi vs Turan-T analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
4º
9º
7º
14
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
12 | 67 |
1º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
14 | 61 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 57 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 51 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 50 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 49 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
|
9º
|
4 | 48 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 46 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 42 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 25 |
10º
|
81% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
1.5% | 26% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
6.5% | 25.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
23.5% | 33.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
66.5% | 15% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
SIV
1 - 2
FKN
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FKN
0 - 1
SFK
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SEB
0 - 3
FKN
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
FKN
5 - 1
FCK
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
QAR
5 - 0
FKN
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Turan-T
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 0
FCK
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
QAR
4 - 3
TUR
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ARA
0 - 1
TUR
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 2
ZIR
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FKN
3 - 0
TUR
48%
26%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |