Neftçi vs Lokomotiv Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
27.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1995 |
FKN
1 - 1
TUR
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1993 |
FKN
4 - 1
BAK
83%
12%
5%
|
72 | 8 | 64 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1996 |
LSO
2 - 2
SSO
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
LSO
0 - 1
LSO
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
LSO
5 - 0
SVA
77%
15%
9%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
LOV
2 - 0
LSO
26%
28%
46%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
LSO
3 - 0
ETA
79%
14%
7%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |