Premier League round 4

FK Modrica vs Leotar analysis

FK Modrica Leotar
71 ELO 65
16% Tilt 9%
6716º General ELO ranking 3277º
66º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
59.8%
FK Modrica
22.2%
Draw
18%
Leotar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
FK Modrica
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18%
Win probability
Leotar
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FK Modrica
+11%
-23%
Leotar

ELO progression

FK Modrica
Leotar
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FK Modrica
FK Modrica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Aug. 2009
LAK
Laktaši
1 - 1
FK Modrica
MOD
42%
25%
33%
70 65 5 0
09 Aug. 2009
MOD
FK Modrica
3 - 0
Sarajevo
SAR
47%
26%
27%
69 75 6 +1
01 Aug. 2009
OSA
Olimpik Sarajevo
2 - 2
FK Modrica
MOD
16%
23%
61%
70 50 20 -1
23 May. 2009
MOD
FK Modrica
3 - 3
Velež Mostar
VEL
55%
24%
22%
69 66 3 +1
16 May. 2009
SLO
Sloboda Tuzla
3 - 0
FK Modrica
MOD
46%
27%
27%
70 73 3 -1

Matches

Leotar
Leotar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Aug. 2009
LEO
Leotar
1 - 0
Sloboda Tuzla
SLO
45%
27%
28%
65 72 7 0
08 Aug. 2009
BBL
Borac Banja Luka
2 - 0
Leotar
LEO
58%
24%
19%
65 70 5 0
01 Aug. 2009
LEO
Leotar
1 - 0
Rudar Prijedor
RUD
73%
18%
10%
65 54 11 0
23 May. 2009
ZRI
Zrinjski Mostar
1 - 0
Leotar
LEO
65%
21%
15%
65 73 8 0
16 May. 2009
LEO
Leotar
1 - 0
Celik Zenica
ČEL
48%
26%
26%
64 69 5 +1