Levski Krumovgrad vs Septemvri Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
7º
14º
11º
16
11º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 73 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 59 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 53 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 53 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 52 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 49 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 41 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 38 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 38 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 37 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 35 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 34 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 32 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 25 |
14º
|
29% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 24 |
15º
|
29% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 21 |
16º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
17% | 12% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
83% | 88% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Levski Krumovgrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
CVA
3 - 0
FLK
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
FLK
0 - 1
BER
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LSO
3 - 0
FLK
60%
25%
16%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FLK
0 - 1
BOT
35%
26%
40%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
ARK
1 - 0
FLK
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Septemvri Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
SEP
2 - 3
LPL
27%
26%
47%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
BVR
2 - 0
SEP
34%
27%
40%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
SEP
0 - 1
LSO
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
CVA
2 - 0
SEP
67%
21%
13%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
SEP
0 - 1
BER
50%
26%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |