A PFG round 21

Levski Krumovgrad vs Cherno More Varna analysis

Levski Krumovgrad Cherno More Varna
63 ELO 77
-0.5% Tilt -16.4%
2103º General ELO ranking 658º
12º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
25.2%
Levski Krumovgrad
28.7%
Draw
46.1%
Cherno More Varna

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
Levski Krumovgrad
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
46.1%
Win probability
Cherno More Varna
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Levski Krumovgrad
Their league position
Cherno More Varna
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
14º
12º
42
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ludogorets
57
74
99%
Levski Sofia
49
63
86%
Cherno More Varna
42
56
58.5%
Botev Plovdiv
41
52
48.5%
Arda Kardzhali
36
50
30%
CSKA Sofia
32
46
23%
Spartak Varna
35
46
25.5%
Beroe
34
42
27.5%
Slavia Sofia
28
39
30.5%
CSKA 1948 Sofia
11º
25
36
10º
32%
Septemvri Sofia
10º
26
34
11º
27%
Levski Krumovgrad
12º
22
33
12º
24%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
13º
20
31
13º
29%
Lokomotiv Sofia
14º
20
28
14º
47%
Botev Vratsa
15º
13
20
15º
70.5%
Hebar Pazardzhik
16º
10
18
16º
76.5%
Expected probabilities
Levski Krumovgrad
Cherno More Varna
Play-offs for the title
0% 89%
Next round
1% 11%
Relegation play-offs
99% 0%

ELO progression

Levski Krumovgrad
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
Hebar Pazardzhik
Spartak Varna
Botev Vratsa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Levski Krumovgrad
Levski Krumovgrad
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 2025
BER
Beroe
0 - 0
Levski Krumovgrad
FLK
49%
27%
24%
62 66 4 0
31 Jan. 2025
FLK
Levski Krumovgrad
0 - 1
Dukagjini
KFD
31%
24%
45%
62 67 5 0
29 Jan. 2025
SAB
FC Iberia 1999
0 - 1
Levski Krumovgrad
FLK
75%
16%
9%
62 77 15 0
25 Jan. 2025
FLK
Levski Krumovgrad
0 - 0
SC Gjilani
GJI
30%
24%
46%
62 69 7 0
18 Jan. 2025
KTE
Kecskeméti
3 - 2
Levski Krumovgrad
FLK
68%
19%
12%
62 75 13 0

Matches

Cherno More Varna
Cherno More Varna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Feb. 2025
CVA
Cherno More Varna
1 - 2
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
LPL
68%
21%
12%
77 63 14 0
01 Feb. 2025
CVA
Cherno More Varna
2 - 1
Dunav Ruse
DUN
76%
16%
8%
78 55 23 -1
29 Jan. 2025
CVA
Cherno More Varna
4 - 0
Ludogorets II
LUD
79%
15%
6%
78 54 24 0
29 Jan. 2025
CVA
Cherno More Varna
4 - 1
CSKA Sofia II
CSK
82%
13%
5%
78 53 25 0
18 Jan. 2025
DOB
Dobrudzha Dobrich
0 - 1
Cherno More Varna
CVA
19%
24%
57%
78 60 18 0