FK Krasnodar vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.6%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
8.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
2º
11º
3º
7
7º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 66 |
1º
|
54.5% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 61 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
|
3º
|
18 | 59 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 57 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 54 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 53 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 46 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 39 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 38 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 35 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 34 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 31 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 28 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 26 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 22 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
|
12º
|
7 | 21 |
16º
|
36.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
5.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94.5% | 11% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 26.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 62.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Krasnodar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
KRA
1 - 0
TER
62%
22%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KRA
2 - 1
CSK
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FAK
0 - 0
KRA
14%
23%
63%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
KRA
1 - 0
CSK
39%
25%
35%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
KRA
0 - 0
DMK
75%
18%
7%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
CSK
1 - 1
OLY
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 0
KHI
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
DMK
0 - 1
OLY
43%
29%
28%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
TER
4 - 1
OLY
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
OLY
0 - 3
CSK
12%
22%
66%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |