FK Krasnodar vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.6%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
8.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
11º
2º
16
7º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 63 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 60 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 59 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 58 |
5º
|
37% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
49% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 44 |
7º
|
46% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 37 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 33 |
10º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 31 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 25 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 23 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 22 |
16º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
18% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 36% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 36% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 28% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Krasnodar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
KRA
1 - 0
TER
62%
22%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KRA
2 - 1
CSK
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FAK
0 - 0
KRA
14%
23%
63%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
KRA
1 - 0
CSK
39%
25%
35%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
KRA
0 - 0
DMK
75%
18%
7%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
CSK
1 - 1
OLY
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 0
KHI
30%
26%
44%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
DMK
0 - 1
OLY
43%
29%
28%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
TER
4 - 1
OLY
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
OLY
0 - 3
CSK
12%
22%
66%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | -1 |