Kara-Balta vs Ilbirs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
62.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kara-Balta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 5
KBA
82%
12%
7%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
KBA
0 - 1
ALD
24%
21%
56%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
DBI
2 - 1
KBA
90%
7%
2%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FKA
2 - 0
KBA
87%
10%
3%
|
10 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
KBA
0 - 1
TAL
13%
18%
69%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ilbirs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
ALD
2 - 2
FTS
29%
22%
49%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
NEF
1 - 3
FTS
64%
21%
15%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
FTS
2 - 1
TAL
29%
23%
48%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
MUR
4 - 1
FTS
59%
20%
21%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FTS
1 - 5
ALG
30%
25%
45%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |