Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 2-2
FS Jelgava vs Molde FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
51.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
MFK
1 - 0
FKJ
74%
16%
10%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2010 |
FKJ
1 - 2
JFK
60%
21%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Jun. 2010 |
VEN
2 - 1
FKJ
68%
20%
13%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2010 |
FKD
1 - 1
FKJ
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
FKJ
4 - 1
FKJ
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
MFK
0 - 0
SDF
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
MFK
1 - 0
FKJ
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2010 |
ELP
0 - 0
MFK
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2010 |
STB
4 - 3
MFK
58%
21%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2010 |
MFK
1 - 3
SOG
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |