Gostivar vs AP Brera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
5º
2º
15
2º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 41 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
|
2º
|
27 | 41 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 40 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 39 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 39 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 30 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
15 | 26 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 24 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 21 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 19 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 19 |
11º
|
26% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 18 |
12º
|
34% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
19.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
48.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
32% | 72.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 20% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gostivar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
GOS
1 - 0
BRE
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
RAB
1 - 0
GOS
46%
27%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
GOS
1 - 1
BES
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
GOS
3 - 1
POB
82%
13%
5%
|
60 | 29 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 2
GOS
51%
26%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
AKP
2 - 0
BES
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
AKP
1 - 1
VOK
50%
24%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SHK
3 - 1
AKP
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
AKP
4 - 0
PEL
49%
25%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
AKP
0 - 0
TIK
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |