Fakel II vs Znamya Noginsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
61.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fakel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
KOL
1 - 3
FKF
85%
10%
5%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
FMV
1 - 2
FKF
71%
16%
13%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
FKF
1 - 0
KAL
13%
21%
66%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | +3 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
ARS
3 - 0
FKF
88%
9%
3%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
SAL
1 - 0
FKF
88%
9%
3%
|
12 | 44 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Znamya Noginsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ZAN
2 - 0
SAK
53%
21%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ARS
0 - 2
ZAN
66%
18%
16%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
FKO
1 - 1
ZAN
40%
23%
37%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
STR
4 - 3
ZAN
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
ZAN
0 - 5
KHI
40%
22%
38%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -2 |