Essentuki vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.6%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.5%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
80.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
16.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.4%
0-3
13%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
17.1%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Essentuki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2022 |
DIN
3 - 1
ETK
87%
9%
4%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
ETK
1 - 2
SKA
6%
16%
78%
|
14 | 50 | 36 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
FCT
3 - 0
ETK
83%
11%
6%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
ETK
0 - 2
ROT
26%
22%
53%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
DMK
5 - 0
ETK
89%
9%
2%
|
15 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2022 |
CHE
3 - 0
DIN
81%
13%
6%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
SKA
3 - 0
CHE
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 0
FCT
86%
10%
4%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ROT
0 - 5
CHE
9%
17%
74%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
CHE
0 - 1
DMK
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |