Chernihiv vs FK Trostyanets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
3º
2º
17
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 39 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
22 | 33 |
2º
|
47.5% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 31 |
3º
|
38% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 30 |
4º
|
35% | |
|
|
5º
|
17 | 27 |
5º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 25 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 24 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 20 |
8º
|
53.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 13 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 10 |
10º
|
88.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
67% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
33% | 98.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chernihiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NYV
0 - 1
FKC
49%
25%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FKC
1 - 1
FCL
70%
17%
12%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HSP
1 - 2
FKC
35%
25%
40%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FKC
0 - 0
CHA
32%
27%
42%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
FKC
0 - 1
MYK
28%
23%
49%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
FK Trostyanets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
OLE
2 - 2
FKT
14%
18%
69%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VOR
2 - 1
FKT
10%
16%
74%
|
44 | 8 | 36 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
MKI
0 - 3
FKT
11%
16%
74%
|
44 | 7 | 37 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
NYV
0 - 0
FKT
58%
23%
20%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 1
POL
14%
17%
70%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |