Cherepovets vs Agat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
8.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
4º
2º
14
5º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherepovets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
FKC
5 - 0
FDV
91%
6%
2%
|
36 | 7 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
FKK
2 - 7
FKC
26%
21%
54%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
KCC
2 - 0
FKC
17%
19%
64%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -2 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
STO
0 - 3
FKC
12%
16%
71%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
FKC
2 - 1
TIV
71%
16%
14%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Agat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
AGY
1 - 1
DIN
39%
22%
38%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
SHI
3 - 1
AGY
23%
20%
58%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -2 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
AGY
1 - 0
FKS
86%
10%
5%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
FDV
0 - 5
AGY
6%
12%
82%
|
24 | 8 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
FAN
3 - 1
AGY
46%
21%
33%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |