Bashkimi vs Osogovo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
8º
3º
8
11º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 69 |
1º
|
76.5% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 63 |
2º
|
48% | |
|
|
3º
|
29 | 59 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 56 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 50 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 47 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 45 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 43 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 42 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 41 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 36 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 32 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 29 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
8 | 23 |
14º
|
46% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 17 |
15º
|
46.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 14 |
16º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
23% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
29% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
48% | 27% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 46% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 27% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashkimi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 3
BAS
19%
24%
57%
|
48 | 12 | 36 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
BAS
2 - 1
SAS
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 0
BAS
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BAS
3 - 1
POB
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
BAS
0 - 2
VOK
25%
21%
54%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Osogovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
OSO
0 - 2
OHR
31%
24%
45%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 0
OSO
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
OSO
1 - 2
ARE
25%
23%
51%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MAK
2 - 0
OSO
75%
17%
8%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
OSO
1 - 0
FKB
78%
14%
9%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |