Liga Montenegro - Play Offs Promotion Final
Global 5-1
Arsenal Tivat vs FK Podgorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
36.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2022 |
FKA
5 - 3
GRB
72%
19%
10%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
FKC
1 - 3
FKA
11%
21%
68%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FKA
5 - 1
BER
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
KOM
2 - 1
FKA
34%
28%
39%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
FKM
1 - 0
FKA
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FK Podgorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2022 |
DEC
1 - 2
MLJ
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
MLJ
3 - 2
IKD
28%
28%
44%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
RUD
1 - 1
MLJ
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
MLJ
0 - 1
JEZ
39%
28%
32%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ZET
1 - 0
MLJ
43%
27%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |