AFC Cup Qualification Ronda Preliminar Final
Global 1-3
Alay Osh vs Ahal FT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
65.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alay Osh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
FTS
1 - 5
FKA
6%
11%
84%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
DBI
3 - 1
FKA
58%
20%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
KBA
0 - 1
FKA
6%
12%
82%
|
45 | 16 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
FKA
3 - 1
FKA
46%
24%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
AKF
1 - 6
FKA
4%
8%
88%
|
44 | 11 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Ahal FT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
AHA
2 - 3
EFT
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
AGA
1 - 1
AHA
15%
23%
62%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
AHA
5 - 1
BFT
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
AGA
1 - 3
AHA
25%
26%
48%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
KAS
0 - 2
AHA
23%
24%
52%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +2 |