L.A. Firpo vs Municipal Limeño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
6º
1º
21
5º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
35 | 39 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 37 |
2º
|
43% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 35 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 34 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 32 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 31 |
6º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 28 |
7º
|
58% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 26 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 17 |
9º
|
73% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 15 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 13 |
11º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
L.A. Firpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
ALI
3 - 0
FIR
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FAS
4 - 1
FIR
36%
27%
38%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FIR
1 - 0
AGU
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
MUN
2 - 3
FIR
38%
26%
35%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MET
1 - 2
FIR
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 0
ALI
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
MUN
1 - 2
CDC
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 21 | 45 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
AGU
3 - 1
MUN
48%
26%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
MUN
2 - 3
FIR
38%
26%
35%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CDP
1 - 1
MUN
35%
27%
39%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |