Fiorentino vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
23.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
TPE
6 - 2
FIO
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
TFI
1 - 0
FIO
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
FIO
0 - 7
FIO
16%
21%
63%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
TFI
2 - 1
FIO
77%
15%
7%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
VIR
2 - 1
FIO
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 3
TFI
14%
23%
63%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
COS
1 - 2
FOL
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 2
JUV
27%
26%
48%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FOL
1 - 4
TPE
21%
23%
56%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
FIO
3 - 1
FOL
81%
13%
6%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | -1 |