Fiorentino vs Cailungo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 1
FIO
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
FIO
2 - 0
TFI
24%
23%
53%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
DOM
0 - 1
FIO
40%
25%
36%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MUR
1 - 0
FIO
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
DOM
0 - 1
FIO
41%
23%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CAI
1 - 1
SGI
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
COS
1 - 0
CAI
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
CAI
1 - 2
FOL
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 0
CAI
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
CAI
3 - 2
FOL
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |