Fiorentina vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
11.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
CAG
2 - 1
FIO
46%
28%
27%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
ROM
2 - 1
FIO
50%
27%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
FIO
0 - 0
PRG
54%
26%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
ACM
2 - 0
FIO
65%
22%
14%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
FIO
3 - 0
FCC
64%
23%
13%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
ASC
0 - 0
AVE
57%
26%
17%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
AVE
1 - 0
JUV
19%
31%
50%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
AVE
0 - 0
INT
21%
30%
48%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
NAP
0 - 1
AVE
71%
20%
10%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
AVE
0 - 0
UDI
45%
30%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |