Europa League Eliminatorias Semi-finals
Global 0-5
Fiorentina vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
39.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
EMP
2 - 3
FIO
27%
26%
47%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
SEV
3 - 0
FIO
58%
23%
20%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
FIO
3 - 1
CES
79%
15%
7%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
JUV
3 - 2
FIO
60%
23%
17%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
FIO
1 - 3
CAG
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
CEL
1 - 1
SEV
30%
25%
45%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
SEV
3 - 0
FIO
58%
23%
20%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
SEV
2 - 3
RMA
18%
21%
61%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
EIB
1 - 3
SEV
14%
21%
64%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SEV
2 - 0
RAY
66%
19%
15%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |