Europa League Grupo J round 5

Fiorentina vs PAOK analysis

Fiorentina PAOK
86 ELO 82
-3.6% Tilt 10.6%
43º General ELO ranking 309º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
60%
Fiorentina
22.2%
Draw
17.8%
PAOK

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
Fiorentina
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.8%
Win probability
PAOK
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fiorentina
+5%
+5%
PAOK

ELO progression

Fiorentina
PAOK
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Nov. 2016
EMP
Empoli
0 - 4
Fiorentina
FIO
24%
24%
52%
86 78 8 0
06 Nov. 2016
FIO
Fiorentina
1 - 1
Sampdoria
SAM
64%
21%
14%
87 79 8 -1
03 Nov. 2016
FIO
Fiorentina
3 - 0
Slovan Liberec
SLI
66%
21%
14%
87 78 9 0
29 Oct. 2016
BOL
Bologna
0 - 1
Fiorentina
FIO
19%
23%
57%
86 76 10 +1
26 Oct. 2016
FIO
Fiorentina
1 - 1
Crotone
CRO
73%
18%
9%
87 69 18 -1

Matches

PAOK
PAOK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Nov. 2016
PAN
Panionios
1 - 0
PAOK
PAO
32%
27%
41%
81 78 3 0
03 Nov. 2016
PAO
PAOK
0 - 1
Qarabağ
QAR
57%
24%
19%
81 72 9 0
30 Oct. 2016
PAO
PAOK
1 - 0
AEK Athens
AEK
59%
24%
17%
80 76 4 +1
26 Oct. 2016
PAO
PAOK
2 - 0
AEL Larisa
LAR
83%
14%
3%
81 51 30 -1
23 Oct. 2016
OLP
Olympiacos
2 - 1
PAOK
PAO
56%
21%
23%
81 81 0 0