Fiorentina vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
VNZ
2 - 0
FIO
67%
17%
16%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
FIO
0 - 0
JUV
37%
25%
38%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
BOL
3 - 2
FIO
71%
17%
12%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
FIO
2 - 2
NOV
53%
22%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
LAZ
1 - 1
FIO
65%
19%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
NAP
3 - 1
TOR
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
MOD
0 - 0
NAP
56%
23%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
NAP
3 - 1
TRI
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
ROM
1 - 0
NAP
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
NAP
0 - 1
INT
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |