Fiorentina vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
26.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1941 |
FIO
1 - 0
ACL
66%
18%
16%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1941 |
FIO
5 - 0
JUV
48%
23%
28%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1941 |
LAZ
4 - 1
FIO
57%
22%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
FIO
3 - 0
BOL
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
FIO
2 - 3
ACM
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1941 |
INT
0 - 2
JUV
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1941 |
FIO
5 - 0
JUV
48%
23%
28%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1941 |
JUV
1 - 2
ACM
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
BAR
3 - 5
JUV
30%
25%
45%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
JUV
2 - 2
VNZ
75%
15%
11%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |