Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 4-1
Fiorentina vs Castel Sangro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
95.4%
Win probability
3.94
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
0.9%
10-1
0.1%
+9
1%
8-0
2.1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.4%
7-0
4.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
<0%
+7
4.9%
6-0
7.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
9%
5-0
11.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.2%
+5
14%
4-0
14.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
18.4%
3-0
15%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
3.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
1.6%
2-2
0.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
3.6%
0.8%
Win probability
0.28
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.2%
2-3
0%
-1
0.7%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
INT
3 - 2
FIO
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
FIO
3 - 1
BAR
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
CAS
0 - 2
FIO
6%
17%
77%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
UDI
2 - 3
FIO
48%
25%
28%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1997 |
SAM
1 - 1
FIO
61%
21%
18%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Castel Sangro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
CAS
0 - 2
FIO
6%
17%
77%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1997 |
CAS
2 - 1
CHI
31%
29%
41%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1997 |
CHI
0 - 0
CAS
75%
17%
9%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1997 |
BAR
3 - 1
CAS
77%
16%
8%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
CAS
2 - 1
PES
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |