Fiorentina vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
TOR
1 - 1
FIO
43%
26%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
FIO
3 - 2
CAT
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
NAP
2 - 2
FIO
31%
28%
41%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
FIO
1 - 1
VNZ
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
ASC
4 - 0
FIO
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
CAG
3 - 1
AVE
71%
19%
10%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
SAL
3 - 2
CAG
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
CAG
2 - 0
GEN
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
TRI
1 - 2
CAG
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
CAG
1 - 1
VER
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |