Fiorentina vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
25.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1947 |
BAR
1 - 0
FIO
42%
25%
34%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1947 |
GEN
5 - 0
FIO
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1947 |
FIO
0 - 3
ACM
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1947 |
FIO
1 - 0
NAP
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1946 |
ROM
2 - 0
FIO
60%
20%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1947 |
ATL
2 - 1
BOL
35%
25%
39%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1947 |
BOL
0 - 2
ROM
64%
20%
17%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1947 |
BRE
0 - 1
BOL
35%
25%
40%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1946 |
BOL
1 - 2
ACM
60%
20%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1946 |
NAP
2 - 0
BOL
44%
27%
30%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |