Fiorentina vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
ACM
0 - 0
FIO
68%
17%
15%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
FIO
1 - 0
JUV
51%
22%
27%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
SAM
1 - 0
FIO
32%
24%
43%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
FIO
1 - 2
MOD
83%
12%
5%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1962 |
FIO
0 - 2
GEN
81%
13%
6%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
ATL
2 - 2
VNZ
65%
21%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
ACM
0 - 0
ATL
85%
10%
5%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
JUV
2 - 3
ATL
78%
13%
8%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
ATL
1 - 1
SAM
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1962 |
ATL
2 - 1
CAT
62%
21%
18%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |