Fiorentina vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
5.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 1972 |
NAP
1 - 1
FIO
47%
29%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1972 |
BOL
0 - 2
FIO
58%
24%
18%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1972 |
FIO
1 - 1
LAZ
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1972 |
FIO
1 - 1
NAP
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1972 |
FIO
0 - 0
BOL
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1972 |
BRE
2 - 1
ASS
65%
24%
12%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1972 |
ASS
1 - 1
ARZ
41%
32%
27%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1972 |
ASS
1 - 1
PAL
36%
34%
30%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1972 |
REG
4 - 1
ASS
63%
24%
12%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1972 |
NOV
1 - 1
ASS
64%
23%
12%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |