Serie A Jor. 5

Fiorentina vs Mantova analysis

Fiorentina Mantova
86 ELO 71
-21.9% Tilt -2.7%
45º General ELO ranking 2072º
Country ELO ranking 55º
ELO win probability
71%
Fiorentina
19.3%
Draw
9.7%
Mantova

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
Fiorentina
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
9.7%
Win probability
Mantova
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Fiorentina
Mantova
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Oct. 1966
VNZ
Venezia
2 - 6
Fiorentina
FIO
25%
26%
50%
86 65 21 0
05 Oct. 1966
GYO
Györi ETO
4 - 2
Fiorentina
FIO
38%
24%
38%
86 72 14 0
02 Oct. 1966
FIO
Fiorentina
1 - 2
Juventus
JUV
50%
27%
24%
86 87 1 0
28 Sep. 1966
FIO
Fiorentina
1 - 0
Györi ETO
GYO
68%
19%
14%
87 73 14 -1
25 Sep. 1966
BRE
Brescia
0 - 0
Fiorentina
FIO
29%
26%
45%
87 73 14 0

Matches

Mantova
Mantova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Oct. 1966
MAN
Mantova
1 - 1
Lecco
LEC
50%
29%
21%
70 69 1 0
02 Oct. 1966
ACM
Milan
2 - 2
Mantova
MAN
75%
17%
8%
70 86 16 0
25 Sep. 1966
MAN
Mantova
1 - 0
Roma
ROM
32%
29%
39%
69 80 11 +1
18 Sep. 1966
MAN
Mantova
1 - 1
Bologna
BOL
24%
27%
49%
69 85 16 0
03 Sep. 1966
REG
Reggiana
1 - 0
Mantova
MAN
43%
26%
31%
70 59 11 -1
X