Premier League round 3

Finn Harps vs UC Dublin analysis

Finn Harps UC Dublin
65 ELO 61
-6.6% Tilt 2.7%
3717º General ELO ranking 3828º
20º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
54.6%
Finn Harps
25.8%
Draw
19.6%
UC Dublin

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
Finn Harps
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
19.6%
Win probability
UC Dublin
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Finn Harps
-14%
+9%
UC Dublin

ELO progression

Finn Harps
UC Dublin
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Finn Harps
Finn Harps
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Mar. 2008
DER
Derry City
2 - 1
Finn Harps
FIN
50%
27%
23%
65 72 7 0
07 Mar. 2008
FIN
Finn Harps
2 - 1
Cobh Ramblers
COB
49%
27%
25%
64 64 0 +1
23 Nov. 2007
WAT
Waterford United
3 - 3
Finn Harps
FIN
29%
25%
46%
65 55 10 -1
20 Nov. 2007
FIN
Finn Harps
3 - 0
Waterford United
WAT
56%
23%
21%
64 56 8 +1
16 Nov. 2007
FIN
Finn Harps
2 - 0
Dundalk
DUN
52%
26%
23%
63 61 2 +1

Matches

UC Dublin
UC Dublin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Mar. 2008
BRW
Bray Wanderers
0 - 2
UC Dublin
UCD
48%
26%
26%
61 56 5 0
07 Mar. 2008
UCD
UC Dublin
2 - 3
Derry City
DER
35%
30%
35%
61 72 11 0
09 Nov. 2007
GAL
Galway United
2 - 1
UC Dublin
UCD
50%
27%
23%
62 62 0 -1
02 Nov. 2007
UCD
UC Dublin
0 - 3
St Patrick's
STP
38%
28%
34%
63 70 7 -1
28 Oct. 2007
UCD
UC Dublin
0 - 1
Longford Town
LON
48%
25%
27%
64 62 2 -1