Philippines vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
47.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philippines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 1972 |
MAS
1 - 0
PHL
74%
15%
11%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1972 |
SGP
0 - 2
PHL
56%
20%
24%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Jun. 1972 |
KOR
1 - 1
PHL
65%
18%
17%
|
41 | 74 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1972 |
KHM
4 - 0
PHL
46%
23%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1972 |
THA
0 - 1
PHL
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 1972 |
LKA
0 - 5
JPN
28%
21%
51%
|
74 | 33 | 41 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1971 |
KOR
2 - 1
JPN
44%
23%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
JPN
5 - 1
TWN
80%
12%
8%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1971 |
JPN
8 - 1
PHL
75%
13%
12%
|
74 | 42 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1971 |
MAS
3 - 0
JPN
31%
22%
47%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | -1 |